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Democrats Counter

September 21, 2010    Content provided by DDC Advocacy

Tired of seeing public polls showing their incumbents and candidates trailing, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee countered with several ballot test results of their own. The idea behind their action is to put some of their nominees back in the game as the campaigns begin turning into the home stretch. The surveys, all from nationally known Democratic pollsters, show two embattled incumbents, Reps. Earl Pomeroy (D-ND-AL) and Jim Marshall (R-GA-8) leading in their respective races. Garin Hart Yang (9/10-12; 501 likely ND voters) gives Pomeroy a 46-44% lead over state Rep. Rick Berg (R). Though this is not a poll one would usually see released from an incumbent since it shows weakness, it is the only data to depict Pomeroy as being ahead of Berg during the past several months. Grove Insight (9/13-15; 400 likely GA-8 voters) gives Rep. Marshall a more substantial 48-36% lead over his Republican challenger, state Rep. Austin Scott.

The DCCC also released two polls showing Democrats leading in open seats currently under Republican control. In data that is raising few eyebrows, Democratic former Lt. Gov. John Carney holds a discernible edge over newly nominated Republican Glen Urquhart: Grove Insight (9/15-18; 400 likely DE voters) projects Carney to have a 50-32% advantage. In the south Florida seat being vacated by Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL-25), 2008 Democratic nominee Joe Garcia has a 40-32% lead over state Rep. David Rivera according to Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (9/12-19; 404 likely FL-25 voters). This poll is curious, though, because the questions were asked over an extended period of time, and even more so when seeing that the survey's sampling universe is rather small.

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