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More Primary Trouble?

September 14, 2010    Content provided by DDC Advocacy

Today's primaries are featuring two more nervous Republicans. Late polling is suggesting that the leads of both Rep. Mike Castle (R-DE-AL) and former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte have narrowed down the stretch. Public Policy Polling actually shows Castle dropping behind consultant and 2008 Senatorial nominee Christine O'Donnell by three points 44-47% (9/11-12), though the Representative counters that his internal polling shows him still holding a seven point lead. In New Hampshire, despite Sarah Palin's endorsement and backing, former GOP gubernatorial nominee Ovide Lamontagne is making a strong stretch run, closing to within seven points in another PPP poll conducted over the weekend. Ayotte has never been behind in the Republican contest and enjoys a substantial lead over consensus Democratic nominee Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH-2). Should either or both of these front runners lose, just as Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) did in late August, the Democrats will immediately become the favorites in the Delaware and New Hampshire. Should Castle and Ayotte prevail, they both appear strong for November. The candidates who entered the nomination processes across the country and those races featuring strong Independent general election candidates will continue to make their presence felt in this most unique of election cycles.


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