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New Colorado Polling Suggests Chaos

August 3, 2010    Content provided by DDC Advocacy

Survey USA, in a poll for the Denver Post (7/27-29; 536 Democratic Primary voters; 588 Republican primary voters), shows a possible upset in next Tuesday's Senatorial primary election. Despite having a better than 3:1 edge in fundraising, appointed Sen. Michael Bennet has dropped behind his Democratic primary challenger, former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff by a three-point 45-48% margin. Bennet has not been able to put Romanoff away, even though the former Speaker has obtained less than $2 million for his campaign through June 30th. Romanoff racked up big margins against Bennet in the party conventions, so the threat to the appointed incumbent does appear real. On the Republican side, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck continues to lead former Lt. Governor Jane Norton, this time by a 50-41% count.

Former Rep. Tom Tancredo's entry into the Governor's race has created the chaotic situation that many had predicted. Tancredo grabs a substantial portion of the vote in a three-way contest with former Rep. Scott McInnis and Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper. According to the data from this poll, Hickenlooper would lead Tancredo and McInnis 46-26-25%, with the now tainted former Congressman dropping to third place. Secondary GOP contender Don Maes fares equally poorly in this type of configuration. Unless the CO Republican leaders can find a solution to the three-way race problem, the dynamics should allow Hickenlooper to rather easily ascend into the Governor's office.

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